With a loss to the New York Giants (4-2) on MNF to cap off week even of the NFL season, the Dallas Cowboys (1-4) will not be officially eliminated from the playoffs but they might want to start thinking about watching the Super Bowl in Dallas rather than playing in the championship game on their home field. Vegas has installed Dallas as -3 favorite at home, but the Giants have won 11 of the past 19 games in the series.
Dallas has not won since September 26 and has dropped their past two outings. The Cowboys is ranked in the top ten in passing and rushing defense, but have only 4 turnovers and, other than linebacker DeMarcus Ware who has seven sacks, the team has struggled to get a pass rush. Tony Romo has throw 10 TD passes but has been intercepted 7 times, with his primary targets Miles Austin and Roy Williams collecting 70% of his touchdown throws. The running game, though, has struggled at times, with Felix Jones leading the team in rushing with only 229 yards. Even with some outstanding individual performances, the sum of the part has added-up to mostly losses.
The Giants, meanwhile, have regained their running game and defense that helped them win a championship in 2007. Ahmad Bradshaw leads the NFC in rushing with 582 yards and has transformed into an every down running back. After a bad 2009 season and a slow start this year, even Brandon Jacobs has regained his mojo. Eli Manning has continued to grow in the passing game with 10 TDs but need to protect the ball better. Hakeem Nicks and Steve Smith have developed into big-time receivers and have combined for 787 yards and 7 TDs. Defensively, the Giants can rush the passer with Justin Tuck and Osi Umenyiora leading the way.
The Cowboys are fighting for their playoff lives but the Giants have not lost in Dallas since 2007. Look for the Giants to cover the spread and win on the road.
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