The New England Patriots will head to Miami for their week 1 NFL picks contest versus the Miami Dolphins at Sun Life Stadium, kick-off is set for 1:00PM. The Vegas lines posted by odds makers for this week 1 NFL picks contest show the New England Patriots as the point spreads betting favorite by -5½ points, the game total has been listed at 46½( ov-110) and the betting public is currently favoring the OVER.
According to the key player injury reports posted by these two NFL teams, on 8/24/2014 NE's Rob Gronkowski was listed as probable with a knee injury.
Making NFL picks on the first few matchups of the NFL betting season is always difficult, since online handicappers are without solid trends after roster changes and new recruits have been added to each roster.
While preseason NFL football can give you some insight on the NFL betting season, I've always said that the teams who win in preseason are likely to lose when the regular season begins. The New England Patriots went 2/2 this preseason including a loss to the NY Giants to close out the preseason. The Miami Dolphins on the other hand went 3/1 closing the season with a win over the Rams.
In this week 1 NFL picks contest I plan to test my preseason vs regular season theory and will be making my free NFL pick on the New England Patriots to cover the -5½ points posted by Vegas odds makers.
Here are a few NFL week 1 betting trends to consider when making your picks on this Patriots vs Dolphins matchup.
New England Patriots:
Team record: 13-5 SU,9-9 ATS
New England is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
New England is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games on the road
New England is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 8 games
Team record: 8-8 SU,9-7 ATS
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games at home
Get the latest Vegas betting odds on every 2014/15 NFL Football picks contest.
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