The New England Patriots (7-2), listed as the Vegas odds favorite for the featured NFL picks matchup in Mexico, beat the Denver Broncos with a show of force coming off their bye week. Now, after they spent a week at the Air Force Academy before traveling to Mexico City for their week 11 matchup with the Los Angeles Raiders (4-5).
Patriots QB Tom Brady threw for 266 yards on 25 completions. New England is 1st in the AFC East ranked 1st in the league with all purpose yards and passing yards, 16th with rushing yards and 4th in points per game. The rushing game has Mike Gillislee and Dion Lewis who have combined for 7 touchdowns this season. The Patriot receiving game has a lot of players but the top four have combined for 15 touchdowns. The NFL odds makers favorite for Mexico City game is the New England Patriots at -7 (-110) and the Oakland Raiders at +7½ (-110). For the over/under bettor, the game total is listed at 52 ½ (-110).
The Patriots offense is averaging 409.4 total yards per game and 28.6 points. The defense is allowing 408.3 yards per game and 21.7 points. The Raiders offense averages 75 yards less at 324.6 all purpose yards and 21.8 points while the defense has allowed 361.1 yards and 23.8 points. In a head to head comparison the last three meetings between the Patriots and the Raiders were won by the Patriots.
The Oakland Raiders are coming off a week 10 bye. The last game was against the Dolphins who they beat. QB Derek Carr has recovered from his 2016 season ending injury and its like he never missed a game. Carr’s completion percentage is the highest of his career at 65.2%. The offense at Carr’s disposal isn’t shabby either. On the receiving side, Jared Cook, Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree each have at least 450 receiving yards this season. The main rusher for the Raiders is Marshawn Lynch at 323 yards rushing at an average of 3.8 yards per attempt. Currently, Oakland is 2nd in the AFC West with a 4-5 record.
Will the Patriots defense be able to contain Derek Carr? Defensive Coordinator for the Patriots, Matt Patricia, thinks so but respectfully knows that Derek Carr is a problem with an incredibly strong arm.
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